Happy New Year everyone! If you're wondering whether I spent New Year's Eve compiling FGW statistics, just know that it was either that or arguing with strangers about probability math problems.
Rather than bust out my old combinatorics textbook, we're busting out the red carpet for the Fantasy Games Won Awards. I'll be referring to the awards throughout the article today for the readers who wish fantasy football had its own version of the NFL Awards.
Fantasy Games Won (FGW) is a statistic that converts fantasy points into fantasy wins. Players get positive FGW points for outscoring average fantasy starters and negative points for below-average scores.
A player can score up to +0.5 FGW for increasing your chances of winning from 50% to 100% or down to -0.5 for dropping your chances from 50% to 0%. Percent started matters; 0% started throttles your FGW down to zero.
For a longer explanation, check out the 2023 FGW launch on my blog. The stat hasn't changed since its inception.
Thank you for following along in 2024! While I can't see from my perspective if you won your fantasy title, I can say that if you had Lamar or Saquon, there's about a 1/4 chance that you did. 2024 was a challenging year for fantasy managers in the early season, as many of the high draft picks took a few weeks to get going. Congrats to those who weathered the rocky seas.
If you didn't pull out the big win, I'm happy to help calculate the probability that you will pull it off in 2025. Now it's time to enjoy the real NFL playoff race. See you next Fantasy season.