Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I posted thoughts on those in the newsletter (others like GDP and employment will be on this blog).
I'm adding some thoughts and predictions for each question.
Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2025.
3) Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate was at 4.6% in November, up from 4.2% in November 2024. Currently the FOMC is projecting the unemployment rate will decrease to the 4.3% to 4.4% range in Q4 2026. What will the unemployment rate be in December 2026?