# ā” MSTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07)
**Bias:** šÆ Mixed ā speculative bullish bounce
**Conviction:** āāā (60%)
---
### š Key Takeaways
* ā **Options flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P = 2.21)
* ā **Trend:** Still bearish (-16.45% monthly, RSI weak)
* ā ļø **Volume:** Flat (1.0x avg) ā no institutional conviction
* š **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) ā cheap calls
* š§± **OI Walls:** \$340C & \$345C = resistance / gamma levels
---
### šÆ Trade Plan (Speculative Play)
* **Instrument:** \MSTR
* **Direction:** CALL (naked)
* **Strike:** \$345.00
* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly)
* **Entry Price:** \$8.60 (ask)
* **Profit Target:** \$12.90 (ā1.5Ć)
* **Stop Loss:** \$5.59 (\~35% risk)
* **Size:** 1 contract (small, punt-sized)
* **Entry Timing:** Open (prefer limit near ask)
---
### š§ Rationale
* Flow is unambiguously bullish, but **price trend & RSI weak** ā treat as a bounce, not reversal.
* \$345C offers liquidity (OI 14,439) + better risk balance than \$340C.
* 5 DTE = **theta risk**, so trade is **binary/speculative**.
---
### ā ļø Key Risks
* š Trend is down ā bounce may fail quickly.
* ā³ Time decay fast with only 5 DTE.
* š§± Gamma/OI walls may cap upside near \$345.
* š° Macro/news can swamp bullish flow.
---
## š TRADE DETAILS (JSON)
'''json
{
"instrument": "MSTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 345.0,
"expiry": "2025-09-12",
"confidence": 0.60,
"profit_target": 12.90,
"stop_loss": 5.59,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 8.60,
"entry_timing": "open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 07:45:34 EDT"
}
'''
---
š„ **Summary:**
This is a **flow-driven speculative call punt** -- risk small, size small, exit fast.
If flow + price action confirm, \MSTR \$345C has upside.
If not ā cut quick.