MSTR Options Flow Screams Bullish -- Can $345C Print This Week? for NASDAQ:MSTR by quantsignals


MSTR Options Flow Screams Bullish  --  Can $345C Print This Week? for NASDAQ:MSTR by quantsignals

# ⚔ MSTR Weekly Trade Setup (2025-09-07)

**Bias:** šŸŽÆ Mixed → speculative bullish bounce

**Conviction:** ⭐⭐⭐ (60%)

---

### šŸ“Š Key Takeaways

* āœ… **Options flow:** Strongly bullish (C/P = 2.21)

* āŒ **Trend:** Still bearish (-16.45% monthly, RSI weak)

* āš ļø **Volume:** Flat (1.0x avg) → no institutional conviction

* 🌐 **Volatility:** Low (VIX \~15) → cheap calls

* 🧱 **OI Walls:** \$340C & \$345C = resistance / gamma levels

---

### šŸŽÆ Trade Plan (Speculative Play)

* **Instrument:** \MSTR

* **Direction:** CALL (naked)

* **Strike:** \$345.00

* **Expiry:** 2025-09-12 (weekly)

* **Entry Price:** \$8.60 (ask)

* **Profit Target:** \$12.90 (ā‰ˆ1.5Ɨ)

* **Stop Loss:** \$5.59 (\~35% risk)

* **Size:** 1 contract (small, punt-sized)

* **Entry Timing:** Open (prefer limit near ask)

---

### 🧠 Rationale

* Flow is unambiguously bullish, but **price trend & RSI weak** → treat as a bounce, not reversal.

* \$345C offers liquidity (OI 14,439) + better risk balance than \$340C.

* 5 DTE = **theta risk**, so trade is **binary/speculative**.

---

### āš ļø Key Risks

* šŸ“‰ Trend is down → bounce may fail quickly.

* ā³ Time decay fast with only 5 DTE.

* 🧱 Gamma/OI walls may cap upside near \$345.

* šŸ“° Macro/news can swamp bullish flow.

---

## šŸ“Œ TRADE DETAILS (JSON)

'''json

{

"instrument": "MSTR",

"direction": "call",

"strike": 345.0,

"expiry": "2025-09-12",

"confidence": 0.60,

"profit_target": 12.90,

"stop_loss": 5.59,

"size": 1,

"entry_price": 8.60,

"entry_timing": "open",

"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-07 07:45:34 EDT"

}

'''

---

šŸ”„ **Summary:**

This is a **flow-driven speculative call punt** -- risk small, size small, exit fast.

If flow + price action confirm, \MSTR \$345C has upside.

If not → cut quick.

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